The article expresses the writer opinion
With the rise of political Islam to power in 1979, Iran followed the Islamic ideology under a new constitution written in 1979 It was amended in 1989 and determined the political, economic and social system of the Islamic Republic of Iran, declaring Islam the official religion and Twelver Shiism the official sect of the country. The Iranian constitution establishes (the higher commander) at the top of the political system of the Iranian state, and he is the body authorized to supervise the operation of the three authorities in the country, except that the Islamic Consultative Assembly is the body supervising and constitutionally responsible for enacting laws and legislation, while the presidency of the republic is the body that implements those laws.
This political structure is a unique and rare phenomenon in the world. That is, the big and small matters are issued and referred to the thought of the higher commander, who draws his insight and wisdom from his continuous meetings with the Hidden Imam.
On the Internal level
Religion played a fundamental role in decision-making and in formulating domestic and foreign policies. It also gave a fundamental role to the Revolutionary Guards, the Basij, and Hezbollah supporters, which worked tirelessly to suppress opposition parties, abuse them, and throw them into the depths of prisons. These forces interfered in every aspect of life, starting with citizenship rights, freedom of the media and opinion, and prevented people from speaking their languages, and from practicing their national rituals. They fought all aspects of life for other nationalities, gagged them, and made life difficult for them. They even interfered in their clothing to be in Islamic molds. Executions took place and continue to take place, and demonstrations were suppressed with iron and fire, and the Mahsa / Jina Amini incident It is one of the most prominent cases. Persecution and discrimination, not to mention poverty, deprivation, hardship and isolation; this is the internal policy of the Iranian government, which has ruled the country with a security grip.
On the level of foreign policy:
that Iran enjoys an important strategic location in the Middle East and Asia, and is of utmost importance regionally and internationally. However, the compass of foreign policy has deviated, declined, receded and completely stopped at the present time. This is due to many reasons, some internal and some external, some regional and international. And economic and military, for example:
First: To strengthen and fortify its global position, Iran has resorted to building nuclear reactors in order to obtain a nuclear bomb and become an Islamic nuclear imperial state among the nuclear states. This is what regional countries, the Gulf states, Israel, America and Europe fear.
This is the backward mentality; the fear, all the fear, that Iran will one day possess a nuclear bomb; This would threaten regional and international peace.
Second: Iran has exhausted all its economic potential. Whether internally; such as building these reactors, neglecting people and depriving them of the most basic means of living and life. or outside; It established and planted its arms in Palestine, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen, lavished money on it at the expense of the Iranian people, and supported it with weapons to obstruct anyone who stands in its way, in order to devote itself to reaching nuclear weapons.
Third: Iran has failed miserably in building strategic relations with powerful countries, and its relations have been economic and temporary.
Fourth: Iran has interfered in the affairs of regional countries through its malicious activities, which has aroused the indignation and condemnation of these countries.
Fifth: Its hostility towards Israel and its claim that it will wipe it off the map under false religious slogans, which has provoked the wrath of Israel and, behind it, America and the European countries.
both internally and externally, have accumulated, exploded, and had a direct impact on Iran. Its most important results are:
1- Iran failed miserably in the ” Al-Aqsa Flood ” operation, and this is the first failure.
2- Hezbollah, its most important arm, was eliminated. Its military arsenal and elite were also eliminated. Its leaders have become a thing of the past, and Lebanon’s sovereignty has returned. This is the second failure.
3- It suffered a crushing defeat in Syria, its militias evaporated, its projects (the Shiite Crescent) vanished, and Bashar al- Assad fell suddenly. This is the third failure.
4- The last failure is the decisive strikes that paralyzed the Houthis and reduced their numbers; this is the last stop of its failures.
Finally, Iran remained alone and isolated. Its concern is its centrality and its nuclear reactor, but it seems that it will not escape punishment; it is now reaping what it has sown, and awaiting its outcome. Iran has reached the point of no return; it no longer has any room for maneuver or Negotiations for the nuclear file, and it has sacrificed the most precious and valuable; it is now faced with two options and no third Either the stage of existence or non- existence, and Israel also reached a complete conviction that this stage is the stage of existence or non -existence. There is no future for the State of Israel and behind it the Western countries, America and Europe.
Even Turkey – even if it evades – It fears that it will be the second stop on the path of changes in the map of the new Middle East, as is clear. The war is at its peak between Iran and Israel as a result of the reckless policy adopted by Iran , and its results are the devastation and destruction of the Iranian infrastructure , and the destruction of what it built over decades , and what it dreamed of to reach nuclear power was exhausted by the preemptive strike through the destruction of all its air defenses, missile launch pads, and reactors such as Natanz, Arak , Fordow, and other private facilities . By enriching uranium and plutonium, and killing its first – class leaders, Iran is infiltrated and par excellence. I have these loopholes and a big security breach, and this is the result for its internal policies, the most horrific is the killing of scientists.
On the other side, it was done. Causing great harm and destruction to Israeli installations, both military and civilian, this war has also caused daily losses, which are increasing day after day. Israel is continuing to implement its plan and will not … It is backing down from this, and it seems that it will not stop until it removes any trace of nuclear reactors. After this labor, new alliances and new maps will crystallize, countries will disappear, and new countries will emerge.
As for Iran, it resists with all its missiles and drones. A reality has been imposed on her that she can only continue. In it, but the question It remains: To what extent will Iran remain resilient in the face of the storm?
What I expect is that either it will collapse at a critical moment, or it will submit to America’s terms of surrender, even if only after a while. This is the end result of erroneous political practices, and this is what those policies have led to.
